Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.067744 0.080513 0.094851 0.112119 0.132326 0.155197 0.183023
2025-03-09 0.047497 0.063678 0.083957 0.111125 0.146453 0.190701 0.250180
2025-03-16 0.035616 0.052519 0.075608 0.109211 0.156586 0.220667 0.313518
2025-03-23 0.029230 0.046643 0.072177 0.111941 0.171801 0.257925 0.390407
2025-03-30 0.023798 0.040739 0.067189 0.110903 0.180581 0.286334 0.457605
2025-04-06 0.019418 0.035448 0.061952 0.108178 0.185747 0.309239 0.518607
2025-04-13 0.015880 0.030786 0.056780 0.104433 0.188271 0.327705 0.574154
2025-04-20 0.013947 0.028548 0.055260 0.106461 0.200414 0.362832 0.660642
2025-04-27 0.012198 0.026295 0.053285 0.107248 0.210266 0.394921 0.745298
2025-05-04 0.010712 0.024262 0.051354 0.107728 0.219440 0.426598 0.832463
2025-05-11 0.009572 0.022722 0.050109 0.109278 0.230698 0.463102 0.932175
2025-05-18 0.008801 0.021831 0.050023 0.113096 0.246779 0.510241 1.056742
2025-05-25 0.007489 0.019493 0.046574 0.109511 0.247668 0.528678 1.129004
2025-06-01 0.006634 0.018072 0.044914 0.109558 0.256192 0.563335 1.237670
2025-06-08 0.005788 0.016502 0.042645 0.107873 0.260687 0.590145 1.333094
2025-06-15 0.005317 0.015803 0.042314 0.110614 0.275363 0.639897 1.481926
2025-06-22 0.004705 0.014596 0.040537 0.109596 0.281214 0.671114 1.593960
2025-06-29 0.004097 0.013272 0.038233 0.106903 0.282696 0.692705 1.686870
2025-07-06 0.003532 0.011945 0.035694 0.103200 0.281184 0.707219 1.765152
2025-07-13 0.003258 0.011451 0.035335 0.105206 0.294234 0.757072 1.930466
2025-07-20 0.002970 0.010847 0.034569 0.105984 0.304214 0.800621 2.085233
2025-07-27 0.002703 0.010256 0.033739 0.106458 0.313449 0.843305 2.242195
2025-08-03 0.002495 0.009819 0.033299 0.107992 0.325749 0.894904 2.426302